walkforwardResearch
The record

Every forecast, its timestamp, and its mark

Append-only. Every line is registered before the outcome is known and never edited afterwards. Two tracks are registered now; the rest appear as they are.

Tracks 2. Lines registered 9. Resolved 0. First mark expected 2 Oct 2026.

TrackSeriesBenchmarks RegisteredNext markStatus
Prison headroom, England and Wales 8 lines registered, 0 resolved Public services Naive, Seasonal naive, Official path 6 Sep 2026 2 Oct 2026 Registered
OBR headroom, 2029-30 current budget before Budget measures 1 line registered, 0 resolved Public finances No change, Historical mean, Capital Economics, Deutsche Bank, Pantheon, Societe Generale, Bloomberg Economics 12 Sep 2026 28 Oct 2026 Registered

Each track opens onto its own lines, their benchmarks and the rule they will be scored by. Registered links to the commit or deposit that timestamped it. How the record works.