walkforwardResearch
The ledger

Every forecast, its timestamp, and its mark

Append-only. Entries are added before the outcome is known and never edited afterwards. The ledger opens with the prison population entry; the rest appear as they are registered.

Registered 0. Open 0. Closed 0. Nothing scored yet; first marks land in October.

ForecastSeriesBenchmark MadeNext markStatus
Nothing registered yet. The first entries are committed to the public repository from 12 September and appear here the moment they are. The ledger starts empty because a ledger that starts full should not be believed.

Every row links to the entry in the public repository and to the commit that registered it. Made is the commit date; Benchmark names the publisher and vintage; the claim is the exact sentence registered, unedited. How the ledger works.